Excerpt: “Key Takeaways:
- A leaked, low-confidence US intelligence assessment found that the US and Israeli strikes caused ‘moderate to severe’ damage to Iran’s nuclear facilities, but that they did not ‘collapse’ the facility. The destruction of the centrifuges and equipment inside does not necessarily require the collapse of the facility itself. A conclusive battle damage assessment of nuclear facilities will take time, given the buried nature of Iran’s nuclear sites and limited on-site access.
- Senior Iranian leadership suggested that Iran may not be willing to cooperate with various international organizations and treaties in the future, despite Iran’s historic and current non-adherence to such agreements.
- The Iranian regime is prioritizing regime security in the wake of the Iran-Israel War. The regime has arrested hundreds of Iranians, and it has focused its efforts on Kurdish areas.”
report (pdf)
(10 pages)